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What is the likelihood of an asteroid hitting Earth in the next decade?

Riya Vincent

The likelihood of an asteroid hitting Earth in the next decade is difficult to predict with certainty, as it largely depends on various factors such as the probability of an asteroid passing by close enough to Earth, the asteroid's trajectory, size and composition, and the Earth's gravitational pull and atmospheric conditions.

However, scientists have been actively working on identifying potential asteroid threats and developing mitigation strategies to minimize the risk of impact. One of the most important efforts in this regard is the NASA-led Asteroid Redirect Mission (ARM), which aims to identify, capture, and redirect a small asteroid into a safe orbit around the moon for further study and potential mining.

Another promising approach is the use of asteroid detection and deflection technologies, such as the Double Asteroid Redirection Test (DART) mission scheduled for launch in 2021. This mission aims to test a kinetic impactor spacecraft that can collide with an asteroid and change its trajectory, potentially deflecting it away from Earth.

Overall, while the possibility of an asteroid impact cannot be completely ruled out, the advances in asteroid detection and deflection technologies provide a greater sense of security and confidence in our ability to protect the planet. As a responsible citizen, it is important to stay informed about the latest developments in asteroid research and support efforts to enhance our preparedness for potential threats.