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What are the long-term implications of the recent changes in international law and foreign relations?

Boris Screeton

Hey, thanks for asking about the long-term implications of the recent changes in international law and foreign relations. This is a big and complex topic, but I’ll do my best to share my thoughts with you.

Firstly, let’s start with the changes in international law. I think that there are a number of important implications to consider here. One of the most obvious is the way that these changes will impact the global distribution of power. In particular, the rise of China as a major economic and military power is likely to lead to a shift away from the US-dominated system that has been in place since the end of World War II.

In addition to this, I think that we can also expect to see changes in the way that international institutions function. For example, we may see an increased role for regional organizations such as the African Union or the European Union. At the same time, we may also see a reduced role for organizations like the United Nations, which have struggled in recent years to maintain their credibility and effectiveness.

Moving on to the topic of foreign relations, there are also a number of implications to consider here. With the rise of populist and nationalist movements around the world, we are seeing a shift away from the liberal internationalist agenda that has dominated much of the post-Cold War period. This is likely to lead to greater emphasis on national sovereignty and the pursuit of narrow self-interest, which may undermine efforts to address global challenges such as climate change or inequality.

In addition to this, I think that we can also expect to see changes in the way that states interact with one another. In particular, the rise of digital technologies and other forms of rapid communication are likely to make it easier for non-state actors such as interest groups, social movements, and terrorist organizations to exert influence at the international level. This may lead to greater instability and uncertainty in the international system.

So what does all of this mean for the long-term future of international relations? Well, I think that there are a few key takeaways. Firstly, we can expect to see a more multipolar world, with power and influence distributed across a wider range of actors. Secondly, we may see greater competition and conflict between states as they jostle for position in this new order. And thirdly, we may see increased pressure on international institutions to adapt and evolve in order to remain relevant and effective.

Of course, these are just a few of the many factors that are likely to shape the future of international relations. But I hope that this gives you a sense of some of the key issues that we need to be thinking about as we look to the years and decades ahead. Thanks for the great question, and feel free to reach out if you want to chat more about this!